{"id":250,"date":"2024-04-06T15:52:04","date_gmt":"2024-04-06T19:52:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/businessagility.education\/blog\/?page_id=250"},"modified":"2024-04-06T16:09:47","modified_gmt":"2024-04-06T20:09:47","slug":"ai-timeline","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/businessagility.education\/blog\/zh\/ai-timeline\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u65f6\u95f4\u8868"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>ABSTRACT: \u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u59cb\u4e8e 20 \u4e16\u7eaa 50 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u7b26\u53f7\u63a8\u7406\u57fa\u7840\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5b83\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u4e13\u5bb6\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 20 \u4e16\u7eaa 90 \u5e74\u4ee3\u8f6c\u5411\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u30022000 \u5e74\u4ee3\u5728\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u548c 2010 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u9769\u547d\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u53d8\u538b\u5668\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u30022020 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u5b8c\u5584 NLP \u548c\u6574\u5408\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684 AGI \u53d1\u5c55\u94fa\u5e73\u9053\u8def\u3002\u6839\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u8f74\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u673a\u5668\u79fb\u60c5\u3001\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6574\u5408\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u5728 2060 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff08\u4f46\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u65e9\uff09\u5b9e\u73b0 AGI \u53ca\u5176\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1950 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u53d1\u5c55\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9 2060 \u5e74\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8ffd\u6eaf\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u4ece 20 \u4e16\u7eaa 50 \u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u5230\u4eba\u5de5\u901a\u7528\u667a\u80fd\uff08AGI\uff09\u7684\u63a8\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5168\u9762\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4e00\u9886\u57df\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5386\u7a0b\u548c\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u5411\u3002\u8fd9\u6761\u65f6\u95f4\u8f74\u5305\u542b\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891\u3001\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u5148\u8fdb\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u9884\u8ba1\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">20 \u4e16\u7eaa 50 \u5e74\u4ee3\u81f3 60 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u9ece\u660e<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u57fa\u7840\u4e0e\u4e50\u89c2<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd \"\u4e00\u8bcd\u662f\u5728\u8fbe\u7279\u8305\u65af\u4f1a\u8bae\uff081956 \u5e74\uff09\u4e0a\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\uff0c\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6b63\u5f0f\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u65e9\u671f\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u7b26\u53f7\u63a8\u7406\u548c\u95ee\u9898\u89e3\u51b3\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u8457\u540d\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891<\/strong>:\u5f00\u53d1\u7b2c\u4e00\u6279\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec Arthur Samuel \u7684\u8df3\u68cb\u7a0b\u5e8f\u548c Newell\u3001Shaw \u548c Simon \u7684\u903b\u8f91\u7406\u8bba\u5bb6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1970 \u5e74\u4ee3\u81f3 1980 \u5e74\u4ee3\uff1a\u6269\u5f20\u4e0e\u591a\u6837\u5316<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u57fa\u4e8e\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u6269\u5c55\u5230\u4e13\u5bb6\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f7f\u7528\u57fa\u4e8e\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u6a21\u4eff\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u65e9\u671f\u6311\u6218<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9886\u57df\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u51ac\u5929\"\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u65e9\u671f\u6280\u672f\u5728\u6269\u5c55\u548c\u5904\u7406\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u548c\u5174\u8da3\u90fd\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5c11\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1990s:\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u5174\u8d77<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8f6c\u5411\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong>:\u91cd\u70b9\u8f6c\u5411\u5f00\u53d1\u80fd\u591f\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce<\/strong>:\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8fce\u6765\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u5bd2\u51ac\uff0c\u4f46\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u6027\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u57fa\u7840\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2000s:\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u7a81\u7834<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65<\/strong>:\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u8bad\u7ec3\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4f7f\u56fe\u50cf\u548c\u8bed\u97f3\u8bc6\u522b\u7b49\u4efb\u52a1\u5f97\u5230\u663e\u8457\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u65b0\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u548c\u6295\u8d44<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u7a76\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u529b\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2010s:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u6d41<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u9769\u547d<\/strong>:\u5377\u79ef\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff08CNN\uff09\u548c\u5faa\u73af\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff08RNN\uff09\u7b49\u6280\u672f\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u89c6\u89c9\u548c\u81ea\u7136\u8bed\u8a00\u5904\u7406\u9886\u57df\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u4e3b\u8981\u91cc\u7a0b\u7891<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u56fe\u50cf\u8bc6\u522b\u3001\u8bed\u97f3\u8bc6\u522b\u548c\u56f4\u68cb\u7b49\u6218\u7565\u6e38\u620f\u4e2d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u6027\u80fd\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2017:\u53d8\u5f62\u91d1\u521a\u65f6\u4ee3\u5f00\u542f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u53d8\u538b\u5668\u6a21\u578b\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/strong>:\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u5207 \"\u8bba\u6587\u5f7b\u5e95\u6539\u53d8\u4e86 NLP\uff0c\u4e3a\u6027\u80fd\u548c\u6548\u7387\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e86\u65b0\u6807\u51c6\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2020s:\u4e13\u4e1a\u5316\u4e0e\u4e00\u4f53\u5316<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>NLP \u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8fdb\u6b65<\/strong>:\u5f00\u53d1\u548c\u5b8c\u5584\u57fa\u4e8e\u53d8\u538b\u5668\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5982 GPT \u548c BERT\uff0c\u589e\u5f3a\u8bed\u8a00\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u751f\u6210\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf<\/strong>:\u5728\u6574\u5408\u4e0d\u540c\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff08\u6587\u672c\u3001\u56fe\u50cf\u3001\u8bed\u97f3\uff09\u4ee5\u589e\u5f3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e0a\u4e0b\u6587\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u65b9\u9762\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2030s:\u601d\u7ef4\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u673a\u5668\u79fb\u60c5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u65e9\u671f\u5fc3\u667a\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5f00\u59cb\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u7406\u89e3\u4eba\u7c7b\u610f\u56fe\u548c\u60c5\u611f\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5f00\u53d1\u5177\u6709\u540c\u60c5\u5fc3\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd<\/strong>:\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u80fd\u591f\u8bc6\u522b\u548c\u5e94\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5176\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u5ba2\u6237\u670d\u52a1\u548c\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2040s:\u9ad8\u7ea7\u80cc\u666f\u7406\u89e3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd<\/strong>:\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u6574\u5408\u591a\u611f\u5b98\u6570\u636e\u548c\u5386\u53f2\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u52a0\u6df1\u4e86\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u73af\u5883\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2050s:\u901a\u5f80\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e4b\u8def<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u6574\u5408\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf<\/strong>:\u52aa\u529b\u5c06\u4e13\u95e8\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7ec4\u5408\u6210\u80fd\u591f\u8fdb\u884c\u901a\u7528\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u63a8\u7406\u7684\u5185\u805a\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u51fa\u73b0\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u539f\u578b<\/strong>:\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u63a5\u8fd1\u4eba\u7c7b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u81ea\u4e3b\u6267\u884c\u5404\u79cd\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u539f\u578b\u673a\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2060 \u5e74\u4ee3\u53ca\u4ee5\u540e\uff1a\u5b9e\u73b0\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e<\/strong>:\u80fd\u591f\u8fdb\u884c\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u521b\u65b0\u548c\u521b\u9020\u7684 AGI 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